Bong Go remains the frontrunner in the highly competitive senatorial race, according to the latest nationwide survey conducted by Arkipelago Analytics. The survey, conducted from April 26 to May 1, 2025, engaged 1,400 registered voters through face-to-face interviews, employing proportional stratified random sampling to ensure broad demographic representation. The poll has a ±3 percent margin of error at a 97 percent confidence level.
Bong Go holds a commanding lead with 63 percent voter support, followed by broadcaster Erwin Tulfo at 55 percent and former Philippine National Police Chief Ronald “Bato” Dela Rosa at 47 percent. Media figures Ben Tulfo and Tito Sotto are tied for fourth place, each securing 42 percent voter preference. Close behind are Senator Pia Cayetano at 41 percent, Camille Villar at 40.5 percent, Ramon Bong Revilla at 39 percent, Lito Lapid at 38.7 percent, and Willie Revillame at 38 percent, rounding out the top ten candidates.
Rodante Marcoleta follows with 34 percent, Bam Aquino at 33.5 percent, and Imee Marcos at 33 percent. Notably, Abby Binay, Ping Lacson, Manny Pacquiao, and Phillip Salvador are closely tied at 32 percent. Trailing slightly are Kiko Pangilinan and Jimmy Bondoc with 29 percent each, and Gringo Honasan at 27 percent.
Further down the list, voter support ranges from 21 percent for Benhur Abalos, 20.5 percent for Francis Tolentino, and 20 percent each for Raul Lambino and Atty. Vic Rodriguez, to lower figures including Colonel Bosita at 17 percent, Doc Marites Mata at 16.5 percent, Jayvee Hinlo at 16 percent, Amirah Lidasan at 12 percent, Nur-Ana Sahidulla at 11 percent, Apollo Quiboloy at 10.5 percent, and Eric Martinez at 5 percent.
Arkipelago Analytics applied a hybrid weighting method, uniquely blending popularity (70 percent) and voter conversion efficiency (30 percent), to deliver insights not only into candidate recognition but also into their potential for voter mobilization. This approach highlights the intense competition for positions four through ten, where margins are narrow, signaling a dynamic electoral landscape in the remaining weeks leading to election day.
Arkipelago Analytics is an independent research firm dedicated to public opinion polling, election forecasting, and policy analysis. It leverages advanced methodologies to provide comprehensive, accurate, and actionable insights for stakeholders across the political spectrum.
