MANILA — The easing of facemask rules in uncrowded outdoor spaces will not lead to a resurgence of COVID-19 infections, pandemic monitor OCTA Research predicted on Tuesday, citing case trends in countries with similar masking policies.
“We’re not expecting a major surge with this [Executive Order No. 3],” OCTA fellow Guido David told reporters a day after the new mask mandate took effect.
“With sufficient population protection, we believe that this EO will not significantly harm the population. We have enough vaccines … and what we are seeing in other countries is that they might see an uptick, but it eventually decreased,” he added, citing infection trends seen in Singapore and South Korea, where masking had also become voluntary.
The country may see a rise in cases but it will “not reach the same level” as when daily infections soared to nearly 40,000 cases during the Omicron surge in January, David said at an online briefing.
Based on its monitoring, OCTA Research observed an uptick in COVID-19 infections in Metro Manila in the past week due to increased mobility.
But the Department of Health (DOH) said in its latest bulletin that cases in all areas, except Mindanao, were on a slow downtrend.
Results from the latest genome sequencing by the Philippine Genome Center from July 15 to Sept. 3 showed that the Omicron BA.5 remains the dominant strain in the country—with 839 samples, or about 86 percent of the total, identified with this more transmissible subvariant.
Set of triggers
OCTA urged the government to define a “set of triggers” that would prompt reimposing the wearing of face masks outdoors should a serious surge in cases happen.
“We also believe that local governments, in their attempt to implement this new executive order, will need guidance from the Department of Health as to when to encourage our citizens to wear masks,” another OCTA fellow, Ranjit Rye, said.
But Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire, the officer in charge of the DOH, said that might be unnecessary, since the government is already regularly monitoring COVID-19 indicators nationwide anyway.
“When we reach the point where indicators have increased, such as admissions in hospitals, severe and critical cases as well as deaths, rightfully, the policy will be revised and discussed within the IATF (Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases) and [that will] be recommended to the President,” she said in her news briefing.
At the Laging Handa briefing, Dr. Edsel Salvana, a member of the DOH’s technical advisory group on infectious diseases, said the number of cases could rise but there would be fewer severe cases.
“[We’ve] been seeing in the last few months that because of the level of our vaccination coverage, even if many get sick with COVID-19 at some point in time, the number of severe cases remains low,” he said. (Kathleen de Villa with reports from Jerome Aning and Alden Monzon © Philippine Daily Inquirer)
